Economy moving closer to recession
Indian fears about the economy moving closer to recession
Feeling low? You're not the only one. According to a survey of 21 major nations conducted by the Pew Research Center,
Indians today stand out globally in terms of their declining optimism.
The study says Indians have lost more faith in their country's economy
- and its future - than other nations over the past year. Our low
spirits are comparable now to the recession-hit west, and not to
emerging economy peers like Brazil
or China. 84% respondents in Brazil and 83% in China display confidence
in their economic future. In sharp contrast, only 45% Indians feel the
same optimism about their economy improving in the next 12 months. India fears about the economy moving closer to recession
This is not only a huge decline relative to economies once clubbed
together with India in a league of possible breakout nations. This
reflects a large drop of confidence within India itself, optimism
falling by 15% from just one year ago. Palpable concerns are fuelling
such pessimism. About 80% respondents stated unemployment
was a huge concern. In addition, 79% stated rising prices were a
massive worry. Amongst other problems, 71% stated concern over growing
crime, 70% over corrupt officials - and 92% squarely blamed the
government for the economic quagmire they found themselves in.
It's little surprise that about 61% respondents preferred a free market
economy over a statist system of opaque patronage and tight control.
This dovetails with the empowering belief two in every three Indians
stated - that people can succeed if they work hard. However, despite
individuals willing to work for a better future, the most worrying
revelation is that 66% or two-thirds of the Indians surveyed felt their
children would have a difficult time even finding a good job and
becoming wealthier than themselves. That's in painful contrast to how
half the Indian respondents said they were better off than five years
ago, two thirds adding their standard of living was better compared to
their parents' at the same age.
Clearly the economic reforms
initiated in the 1990s benefited large groups of people in important and
empowering ways, laying the basis of today's aspirational India. But
those aspirations have been hit hard by the UPA government's persistent
inability to push through with the next phase of reforms as well as
clean up gathering cesspools of corruption and cronyism. The government
would do well to heed this and other signs of the darkening public mood
across the country.
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